How to solve the Irish Brexit problem [Other Readables]
Michael Plummer's Working Paper on the Trans-Pacific Partnership in collaboration with the Peterson Institute was referenced by the Financial Times as it was noted that the United States "would not just forgo the benefits of the deal, but lose export markets in Asia-Pacific as other countries integrate their economies. In "Going It Alone in the Asia-Pacific: Regional Trade Agreements Without the United States" Director Plummer and co-authors explore how the remaining 11 countries can find alternative ways to sustain economic integration in the Asia-Pacific region.
What to Make of the New Leader of Italy's Populist Five Star Movement
Professor Mark Gilbert outlines the ascension of Luigi Di Maio as the new leader of Italy's Five Star Movement in a piece for World Politics Review, highlighting that his "election was an investiture rather than a contest" at the party's national meeting last month. Looking forward, this means that Di Maio's belief that the movement "should get into power and enact its program" may take precedent over those in the party "who believe that its main task is to act as a force for moral opposition."
Iran blamed for Parliament cyber-attack
Following reports that Iran was responsible for a cyber-attack on the UK Parliament last June, Sanam Vakil analyzes the broader implications of Iran's current relationship with the west in BBC News, noting that "a big rift" was developing between the US and its European allies over Iran. Regarding President Donald Trump's latest move toward decertification of the nuclear deal, Vakil adds that "It's up to the Europeans to very much defend the deal and that's the stance that they're taking."
Refugees, Communism and Nationalism
In the run up to to Austrian elections that took place on Sunday, Erik Jones weighed in on the impact of refugees and nationalism not only in Austria but throughout central and eastern Europe. "We've seen a breakdown of the traditional political parties and the weakening of the traditional left," Jones says. "So these populist movements flourish because the other alternatives become less attractive and less effective." Austria provides two key lessons, Jones adds, that "this is a recurrent problem, and the problem seems to be getting worse, not better."
DEBATE: Can the Iran deal survive if Donald Trump pulls the US out?
Arguing that the Iran deal can indeed survive should the U.S. remove itself, Sanam Vakil in City A.M. makes the case that the remaining signatories and most of all European partners can come together to protect the agreement. "Tehran is working hard to lobby support from Europe and the Rouhani administration has strongly affirmed that if Europe stands by the agreement, so too will Iran."
Protectionism and its risks
In the Economist, a recent Working Paper by SAIS Europe Director Michael Plummer on the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was cited as part of a broader analysis of President Trump's trade policies since taking office. Regarding TPP, the Economist writes, "the agreement might have added 8% to the GDP of Vietnam by 2030, according to calculations by Peter Petri of the Peterson Institute for International Economics and Michael Plummer of Johns Hopkins University, and almost as much to the economy of Malaysia."
Going It Alone in the Asia-Pacific: Regional Trade Agreements Without the United States
Michael Plummer co-authored a Working Paper published by the Peter Institute for International Economics. The paper explores positive policy alternatives that appear to be emerging in the Asia-Pacific following the United States' withdrawal from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) in early 2017. Among the findings, the authors demonstrate that an 11-member TPP (all original members excluding the US) could still generate benefits to members, albeit with gains only about one-third as large as the original proposal.
Catalogna e Scozia: Cosa cambia per l'indipendentismo in Europa (in Italian)
CCSDD Director Justin Frosini joined MilanoFinanza to discuss Sunday's referendum in Catalonia, noting that neither side can claim victory in the aftermath of the chaotic events that occurred in polling stations across the region. From a legal standpoint the declaration of independence on the part of Catalonia has no merit, Frosini adds, while from a political point of view Madrid faces increasing backlash to its handling of the process.
Emmanuel Macron's Expansive Vision for Europe is Tactically Smart
The Financial Times, commenting on the French President Emmanuel Macron's European vision following his Tuesday speech, shared Erik Jones' view on the obstacles that may lie ahead for Macron after the German election."The conventional view, well expressed by Matthias Matthijs and Erik Jones, is that the German election result will make it harder for Macron to make headway in Berlin."
Jamie McCourt, Trump's nominee to serve as envoy to France, has deep ties to Baltimore
Erik Jones was quoted in the Baltimore Sun in response to the upcoming Senate confirmation hearing of Jamie McCourt to serve as ambassador to France and Monaco. Commenting on the relationship established between President Trump and President Macron and the impact of McCourt's nomination, Jones added that “There's a natural kind of tension there. Do I think that's going to overwhelm the bonds of friendship between France and the United States? No. But there's some optics that are going to be amusing along the way.”